the friend online
08 August 2008


Dismal predictions: a commentary on the US election - preview

Chuck Fager suggests that whoever wins the forthcoming US election, the outcome will be the same

In the US, it's the season for election predictions, so here are mine

  • Not about the horse race
  • We all read the same polls and I have nothing to add

  • Instead, my forecast is about some post-election developments, events I consider highly likely, regardless of who is inaugurated next January

  • Three such, to be exact
  • First the list, and then the explanation

  • One: The war-swap
  • We'll start getting out of the 'bad' war (Iraq) to make more room for the 'good' one (Afghanistan)

  • Two: A return to conscription, on the salami plan – a slice at a time, disguised as 'national service'

  • Chuck Fager

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